乌克兰“侵略”战争,从一开始俄罗斯就输了

一场战争,能赢的“三要素”,俄罗斯一个都不具备:(乌克兰士兵为“保卫”自己的国家而战。普京总统,停止你的军队。——联合国秘书长,安东尼奥·古特雷斯。)

  1. 内部没有强烈的反对声音。
  2. 自己“足够强大”,或有“绝对力量”支持自己。
  3. 外部没有“绝对力量”阻挠。

​1、俄罗斯内部有强烈的反战浪潮和面临经济崩溃的压力。2、现在的俄罗斯足够强大么?“中方”绝不是支持俄罗斯的“绝对力量”,虽然,一定或很大程度上,会支持。“中方”也有自己的“小算盘”——“先看你的表演。”3、联合国、北约,欧美势力等。

  • 1.2.3.条件,相反,便是​一场战争必输的“三要素”。

如今,完全不会再次出现,“中方”“主动打”“另一个中方”,除非“中方”/“另一个中方”和俄罗斯/乌克兰一样傻,中了外部势力的圈套。“我要是‘中方’/‘另一个中方’‘领导人’,遇到这种情况,立马抛出橄榄枝,多方和谈。提供参照物,解决各自历史上的各种遗留问题

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres
联合国秘书长,安东尼奥·古特雷斯

Russia Lost War of "Aggression" in Ukraine from Very Beginning

In a war, the "three elements" that can be won are not possessed by Russia: (Ukraine Soldiers fight to "defend" their country. President Putin, stop your troops. - United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres.)

  1. There is no strong internal opposition.
  2. You are "strong enough" or have "absolute strength" to support yourself.
  3. There is no external "absolute strength" to obstruct.

1. There is a strong anti-war wave in Russia and pressure of economic collapse. 2. Is Russia strong enough now? "China" is by no means an "absolute strength" that supports Russia, although, to some extent or to a large extent, it will. "China" also has its own "small abacus" - "Watch your performance first." 3. The United Nations, NATO, European and American forces, etc.

  • 1.2.3. Conditions, on the contrary, are "three elements" that must be lost in a war.

Today, it will never happen again, "China" "actively attack" "Taiwan province", unless "China"/"Taiwan province" are as stupid as Russia/Ukraine, and fall into the trap of external forces. "If I were a 'China'/'Taiwan province' 'leader', I would immediately throw an olive branch in such a situation and conduct multi-party peace talks. Provide a reference, to solve various problems left over from their respective histories."

随笔|Jottings

2022-02-25

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